Wednesday, November 7, 2012
Is It Too Early?
I predict that in 2016 the Democratic candidate will defeat the Republican candidate by an even wider margin than last night's result. Why? My guess is that they will blame Romney's loss on his not being a 'true conservative.' And their A list of candidates is composed of those, so they will run one of them. Probably Marco Rubio. And he will be shellacked because he will either not attempt to move toward the center, figuring that's what cost Romney, or his attempt to do so will be unconvincing. In my opinion Romney lost because of his move to the extreme right to win the nomination. His 'bounce' came when he moved hard toward the middle. It was just too little, too late. Which doesn't bode well for future Republican candidates. Unless they actually do learn from last night.
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I think some clear thinkers and strategist in the party know they need to stop moving right. But the old white guy and businessman and bible thumper base is already thinking they reason he lost was he was not far right enough. The GOP primary system is stacked to pick a ding bat every time as the dead-enders, home schoolers and NRA turn out heavy. I don't see how they can avoid going further right trying to correct their losses, except by following the actuary tables to their conclusion.
ReplyDeleteReverse (to the correct outcome) the clusterfuck that was the 2000 presidential election in Florida and the Democrats would be on a six election winning streak.
DeleteHey NAC, if you have a chance, get a ticket on line for the "Do the Math" tour, they have an event in your beautiful town. If you can maybe you will report what it was like. http://math.350.org/
ReplyDeleteJust found this, D. Looks like I'm too late. The event is sold out. A good sign though, right?
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